Obi Gaining Support In Unexpected Areas — Election Result Will Shock El-Rufai — Babachir Lawal


Babachir Lawal, a former secretary to the government of the federation (SGF), says Peter Obi, presidential candidate of the Labour Party, is gaining support in “unexpected areas”.

Speaking on Friday during an interview with Channels Television, Lawal said the LP’s growing popularity will shock critics.

In July 2022, the former SGF rejected the choice of Kashim Shettima as running mate to Bola Tinubu, presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), over the Muslim-Muslim ticket.


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Lawal was initially at the forefront of the campaign for Tinubu before the choice of Shettima as APC vice-presidential candidate.

In November 2022, Lawal endorsed Obi, saying the former Anambra governor’s candidacy is evidence of the genuine clamour for power shift.

Speaking on the chances of Obi in the general election, Lawal said the LP candidate will get more than 50 percent of the total votes cast in the majority of the states in northern Nigeria.

“On the side of the Labour Party, what has changed is that areas where we had not expected the Labour Party to do well; they are galloping through,” he said.

“The momentum is so much that it is difficult to curtail.

“When the 2023 election season commenced, Peter Obi was not on the card during the computations as to what will happen and the expectation was that the race was a straight one between APC and PDP.

“Out of nowhere, Peter Obi came in and then followed by Rabiu Kwankwaso. The whole permutations changed.

“Unfortunately for the two parties — APC and PDP — they don’t have the capacities to factor this dynamic.

“As you speak, Peter Obi has run PDP out of Adamawa, Taraba, Plateau, Benue, and Kaduna states and quite a number of states in the north.

“Before, in our calculations, we were targeting 25 percent, but now we are targeting within 55 to 70 percent in the majority of the states in the north.”

Speaking on the comment of Nasir el-Rufai, Kaduna governor, that Obi can’t win, the former SGF said el-Rufai will be shocked by the outcome of the election.

“Every Nigerian is now determined to have a say in this election, including those who Nasir el-Rufai claimed are not many. He said northern Christians are not many,” Lawal added.

“I want him to wait for February 25 and he will see the shock of his life. When he goes around bandying about five and six million votes in Kano, he forgets that in that five and six million, the Igbo are about one million, residing in various towns in Kano.”

He also regretted campaigning for the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) in the last election that saw Muhammadu Buhari emerged as president.

“Nothing is working under the APC government.

“I am sorry I campaigned for the party.

“I have now seen the light which is Peter Obi and have thus repented,” Mr Lawal said on Channels Television’s Politics Today.

Mr Lawal made the comment while analysing Labour Party presidential candidate, Peter Obi’s chances in the imminent February presidential polls.

He believes Peter Obi’s growing popularity in least expected areas will be a deciding factor in the forthcoming presidential election.

“Labour Party is gaining momentum in unexpected areas; it is taking the APC and PDP by storm because they never initially factored Peter Obi into the political permutations,” he said.

Nigerians have been lamenting the current economic woes under the APC-led government with less than 22 days to the poll.

Some analysts believe, with the present situation in the country, there is strong indication that the result of the election may slightly have a negative impact on the ruling party if not addressed.

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